Applied Macroeconomics Letters

2016:

• Letter CEMAP - 33 - Brazilian Real Effective exchange rate is overvalued at the end of 2016

2016:

• Letter CEMAP - 31 - Brazilian Real Effective Exchange Rate was slightly overvalued in the third quarter of 2016.

• Letter CEMAP - 30 - What can happen under Donald Trump term?
• Letter CEMAP - 29 - Brazilian Real Effective Exchange Rate was near its fundamentals in the second quarter of 2016.
• Letter CEMAP - 28 - How Brazilian economy would react to a global downturn.
• Letter CEMAP - 27 - Nova estimativa sobre desalinhamento cambial para o primeiro trimestre de 2016

• Letter CEMAP - 26 - Scenario for inflation in 2016 e 2017: Hit the target only in 2018?

• Letter CEMAP - 25 - Fundamentals Improvement and Misalignment correction are the highlights of 2015.

2015:

• Letter CEMAP - 24 - Fundamentals Improvement and weak Real: Are they the good news for the year?

• Letter CEMAP - 23 - Brazilian Exchange rate was undervalued in 2014 and the fundamentals continued to deteriorate; 
•  Letter CEMAP - 20: Brazilian Exchange rate was undervalued in 2014 and the fundamentals continued to deteriorate;

2014:

• Letter - 18: Exchange Rate in Brazil - Trade Balance explains great portion of misalignment; 
• Letter - 17: Exchange Rate in Brazil: Moving Towards Equilibrium?;
• Letter 16 - Projections of Brazilian Consumer Price Index in 2014;
• Letter - 15: Exchange Rate in Brazil: a closer look to the fundamentals;

2013: 

• Letter - 14: Brazilian Exchange Rate in 2013: Change in Fundamentals or adjust toward equilibrium?;
• Letter - 13: Projections for Brazilian Consumer Price Index in 2013 using time series techiniques;

2012:

• Letter 12 - 12: Bubble in Sao Paulo Real State Market? Econometric Based evidence; (novo)
• Letter 11- What can happen with Brazilian industry production in 2012?;
  • Compare the forecasted and actual values;
• Letter 10: Forecasting Brazilian Consumer Price Index in 2012 using time series techinques;
  • Compare the forecasted and actual values;

2011:

• Letter 09: Projections for Brazilian Consumer Prices index in 2011 and 2012
• Letter 08: What is going to happen with Brazilian industry production index in 2011?
• Letter 07: Estimating Brazilian equilibrium real exchange rate.
• Letter 06: Forecasting Brazilian Consumer Price Index using time series techiniques

2010:

• Letter 05: Is there evidence of hysteresis in Brazilian imports?
• Letter 04: The whole of calendar effects in Brazilian Industry 
• Letter 03: Aggregate Consumption Dynamics in Brazil
• Letter 02: Exchange Rate and Brazilian Exports

2009:

• Letter 01: Exchange Rate Misalignment in Brazil

Last Update: March, 15th 2017.