Center for Applied Macroeconomics Working Papers

 

12 - Discovering and evaluating models for predicting Brazilian inflation: an analysis based on a wide range of indicators? (portuguese)

11- Marçal, Emerson Fernandes; Cunha, Ronan; Merlin, Giovanni Tondin; Simões, Oscar Rodrigues; The aftermath of 2008 turmoil on Brazilian economy: Tsunami or “Marolinha”?

10 - Caperoz, Marcelo; Marçal, Emerson Fernandes; Mattos, EnlinsonA time series analysis of household income inequality in Brazil 1977-2013.

09 - Mendonça, Diogo de Prince, Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, Holland, Marcio; Is fiscal policy effective in Brazil? An empirical analysis.

08- Marçal, Emerson Fernandes;  Zimmermann, Beatrice  de Prince, Diogo e Merlin, Giovanni; Assessing global economic activity linkages: an empirical exercise based on global autoregressive regression;
 
07- Marçal, Emerson Fernandes;  Zimmermann, Beatrice  de Prince, Diogo e Merlin, Giovanni; Addressing important econometric issues on how to construct theoretical based exchange rate misalignment estimates
 

06- Marçal, Emerson Fernandes;  Zimmermann, Beatrice  de Prince, Diogo e Merlin, Giovanni; Does mixed frequency vector error correction model add relevant information to exchange misalignment calculus? Evidence for United States;

05-  Marçal, Emerson Fernandes;  Zimmermann, Beatrice  de Prince, Diogo e Merlin, Giovanni; Assessing interdependence among countries' fundamentals and its implications for exchange rate misalignment estimates: An empirical exercise based on GVAR;

04 - Nogueira, V., Mori, R. & Marçal. E. F.; Transmissão da variação cambial para as taxas de inflação no Brasil: estimação do pass-through através de modelos de vetores autorregressivos estruturais com correção de erros; (portuguese)
 
03 - Marçal, E. F.; Exchange rate misalignments, interdependence, crises, and currency wars: an empirical assessment published in Brazilian Review of Economics)
 
02 - Veronesi, C. & Marçal, E.F. A estrutura a termo da taxa de juros brasileira e a oferta de títulos públicos (published in Research and Economic Planning(portuguese);
 
01 - Carlomagno, T. & Marçal, E. F. Forecasting Brazilian inflation by its aggregate and disaggregated data: a test of predictive power by forecast horizon(published in Applied Economics);